Markets
Live probabilities on Alaska's 2026 cycle, set by the people trading on them.
Official prediction market of
Open
Which party's candidate wins the 2026 Alaska governor's race?
Republican
33.3%
Democratic
33.3%
Independent or nonpartisan
33.3%
Will 2026 general election turnout exceed 60% of registered voters?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
Will any 2026 legislative general race be certified with a margin under 50 votes?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
Will the Alaska House organize with a bipartisan coalition majority after the 2026 election?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
Who wins Alaska's 2026 U.S. Senate race?
Dan Sullivan (incumbent)
33.3%
Mary Peltola
33.3%
Someone else
33.3%
Who wins the 2027 Anchorage mayoral election?
Suzanne LaFrance
25.0%
Natasha von Imhof
25.0%
Jeff Landfield
25.0%
+ 1 more outcomes