Will any 2026 legislative general race be certified with a margin under 50 votes?
Any of the 40 House or 10 Senate general-election races.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Yes | 50.0% |
| No | 50.0% |
Resolution
Resolves YES if, in at least one 2026 legislative general election, the certified final-round margin between the winner and runner-up is fewer than 50 votes. Recounts count against the post-recount certified margin.
Source: Alaska Division of Elections certified results · Expected: December 2026 (post-recount certification)